Allan Lichtman Keys 2024. His system has seen him predict the winner of elections consistently since the 1980s and he. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016.
The historian whose model for an incumbent party retaining the white house says kamala harris as its nominee lost democrats three of his 13 keys to victory, but. In the updated 2024 edition, he applies the keys to every presidential election since 1860 and shows readers the current state of the 2024 race.